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Closing the gap

While the Canadian accommodation industry started the year off well, posting a 2.6% increase in demand in January and February 2003, demand levels started slipping by 1% in March, and thereafter fell sharply by 11% in April, another 9% in May, a further 10% in June, and yet a further 9% in July. While the industry reported a loss of close to 23,000 room nights in March, April results deteriorated rapidly to a shortfall of over 662,000 occupied room nights. May was almost as devastating with over 590,000 room nights lost, with the losses in June accelerating to 732,000 occupied room nights, and July posting losses almost equivalent to April at 652,000 room nights. Since March, the industry has suffered a total deficit of over 2.7 Million room nights in comparison to last year’s performance.

During the month of July, Canada as a whole lost a further $126 Million in room revenue in comparison to July of last year, down from the $136 Million in losses recorded in June. Since April, the room revenue losses across Canada total $445 Million. Accounting for the other on-site ancillary sources of revenue generated by the accommodation sector, Canada’s combined accommodation revenue loss for the 4-month period April to July is estimated at $685 Million.


As domestic health concerns about SARS dissipate, the disastrous economic effects continue to mount for Canadian Hoteliers well into the peak summer travel season. Hardly comforting, yet positive, Downtown Toronto accommodation operators have begun to close the gap. Year-over-year demand levels have improved from losses of 30 to 40% per month over the April to June period to less than 25% in July. Room revenue losses over this same period have improved from 50% to 40% in July. Unfortunately for some of Canada’s other major markets, especially those relying on international and group tour business, business volumes are still eroding, however, this is more a function of the fact that these markets were relatively unaffected in the initial months of April and May.

LOOK FOR PKF’S UPCOMING RELEASE OF
TRENDS IN THE HOTEL INDUSTRY
ANNUAL OPERATIONS REPORT – 2002 RESULTS

PKF would like to announce the upcoming release of the 2003 Canadian edition of Trends in the Hotel Industry Annual Operations Report. This annual publication contains the 2002 operating results for 555 hotel properties representing about 103,000 guest rooms. The 50-page report provides detailed financial data by operating department nationally and regionally for full service hotels, limited service hotels, suite hotels and resorts. The 2002 data indicates that relative to 2001, there was a 1% increase in total revenues per available room after a 3% decrease in 2001. Net income before other fixed charges increased by 1% nationally in 2002, after decreasing 9% in 2001. The full findings of this report will be released by the end of September 2003.


Fran Hohol, Principal
Jeff Hyslop, Research
PKF Consulting

Hospitality Consulting